tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3412583847145043520.post314491986334520737..comments2024-03-27T19:01:21.504-06:00Comments on Enik Rising: Sending a message... to whom?Seth Maskethttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17178036016555722068noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3412583847145043520.post-6392378493982413312009-11-03T09:01:38.266-07:002009-11-03T09:01:38.266-07:00I don't know; my strong assumption will be tha...I don't know; my strong assumption will be that pretty much everyone will read the data the way they want to. I'm pretty skeptical that there are more than a handful of GOPers who are disinterested types looking for evidence of which course is actually better for the party. <br /><br />I do think that there were important signals in NY-23, but those are the ones already sent.Jonathan Bernsteinhttp://plainblogaboutpolitics.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3412583847145043520.post-64223876314340494672009-11-03T06:56:49.746-07:002009-11-03T06:56:49.746-07:00All true. And yes, these folks are caught in a fe...All true. And yes, these folks are caught in a feedback loop. The nice thing about today's election is that it will provide actual empirical data for them. Of course, even if Hoffman wins, there may be all sorts of reasons that this model doesn't export to other districts in other years. But everything else until this point has been conjecture and posturing, so a data point would be nice.Seth Maskethttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17178036016555722068noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3412583847145043520.post-67572352326420933392009-11-02T22:22:48.084-07:002009-11-02T22:22:48.084-07:00I think your story (the classic "purists"...I think your story (the classic "purists" vs. "professionals" battle) is one of the stories going on, but not the only one. For example, there's also a national vs. local story. And then, also, I don't think it's safe to assume that Rush, Beck et al. are motivated by their beliefs as conservatives, and not their commercial incentives. One more thing: to the extent that party leaders are caught inside the feedback loop of their own communications paths, they may be finding it difficult to have the information needed to make good judgments.Jonathan Bernsteinhttp://plainblogaboutpolitics.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.com