Enik Rising

It's become an article of faith that Democrats in Congress paid a price for having passed the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act...

So it seems like journalists are increasingly turning to political scientists for answers to political questions.  Thank you! In return, pol...

Are the swings in midterm elections getting bigger? Look at Brendan Nyhan's graph below. 1994 had the biggest loss for the president...

Whom did various Tea Party groups endorse in the general election?  The Washington Post has a really nice page devoted to this topic.

Were poor youth turnout and high elderly turnout responsible for the Democratic slaughter on Tuesday?   William Galston is skeptical: The ...

Back in September, Steven Greene and I did some preliminary research finding that Democratic House members who had voted for health care r...

As loyal readers of this blog are no doubt aware, my forecast of the midterm election was pretty wide of the mark.  We don't know the e...

I have a bet with my colleague Peter Hanson over whose freshman seminar students can produce the best midterm forecasts.  Here are the mean ...

Via Brendan Nyhan :

The NYT's Freakonomics blog has a forum out today on the congressional midterms featuring yours truly. Yeah, I wanted to toot my horn ...

Did Tea Party influence cause Republicans to nominate a large number of unqualified candidates?  Via John Sides , Brendan Nyhan looks at th...

Last week, I cited some early voting numbers collected by Michael McDonald that suggested a Democratic advantage for the midterm elections....

Nate Silver recently noted just how uncertain most midterm election forecasts are.  He's expecting the GOP to pick up 50 seats in the H...

I'm sticking with my predictions about the midterm elections, although there are a bunch of anecdotes that would tempt me to move into ...

In last Wednesday's New York Times , Raymond Hernandez noted a recent CNN poll (PDF) on the Connecticut Senate race between Republican ...

As of today, over 700,000 Americans have already voted in the 2010 congressional midterm elections. Michael McDonald is once again reportin...

Several months ago, Brendan Nyhan took issue with political commentators who were urging Obama to campaign more like Reagan.   Jon Judis , ...

In my dataset used for forecasting midterm elections, I have changed the variable regarding state legislatures.  It is now the total number...

There was much speculation at the time of the passage of the Affordable Health Care for America Act that a yes vote might put Democratic Ho...