David Frum nicely takes apart this silly and insulting Commentary piece by Jennifer Rubin that argues that Jews hate Sarah Palin because Jews look down on rural, working class people without formal educations. But while Frum is right to point out the problems with the piece, he needn't bother developing other reasons that Jews might dislike Palin.
The entirety of the Commentary article rests on the notion that Jews actually disproportionately dislike Palin. As her one piece of evidence, Rubin cites a 9/08 poll showing that only 37 percent of Jews approve of Palin. Is this really disproportionately low?
Well, we know from exit polls that Jews tend to vote roughly 75-25 in favor of Democratic presidential candidates. And in the fall of 2008, about 83% of Republicans and 21% of Democrats approved of Palin. So let's do a little back-of-the-envelope calculation:
.75*21 + .25*83 = 15.75 + 20.75 = 36.5.So going by their partisan voting patterns alone, we would expect 36.5 percent of Jews to approve of Palin -- almost exactly what that poll found.
Nothing to see here, folks. Move along.