Wednesday, November 5, 2008

Race and the vote?

John Zaller and Andrew Gelman note that the few states in which Obama underperformed relative to Kerry were Arkansas, Louisiana, and Tennessee, as we can see in the chart I posted below. (Also note this map.) I can't help noticing that those were Southern states that allowed early voting. I'm wondering if seeing long lines of black voters over several weeks generated some kind of backlash among whites.

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